Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 7.184369 8.203474 9.326216 10.656637 12.192414 13.912270 15.988020
2025-08-17 5.699758 6.996877 8.539913 10.517192 12.992919 16.002282 19.955869
2025-08-24 4.799974 6.202577 7.964806 10.353627 13.526224 17.621128 23.349098
2025-08-31 4.146155 5.584185 7.472646 10.152751 13.888677 18.955886 26.424356
2025-09-07 3.850265 5.379525 7.468345 10.556977 15.053949 21.433468 31.295077
2025-09-14 3.525245 5.086174 7.293107 10.676692 15.797026 23.357496 35.555249
2025-09-21 3.215494 4.774691 7.048551 10.650518 16.295475 24.940070 39.444156
2025-09-28 2.929255 4.464893 6.768493 10.528273 16.613079 26.250052 43.017614
2025-10-05 2.793457 4.367853 6.795616 10.875956 17.692038 28.852453 48.985168
2025-10-12 2.655370 4.251700 6.777437 11.140676 18.649699 31.337190 55.023109
2025-10-19 2.554730 4.184717 6.828219 11.517451 19.823447 34.292461 62.223504
2025-10-26 2.338723 3.907152 6.505935 11.223374 19.792375 35.124372 65.606542
2025-11-02 2.164486 3.688409 6.268533 11.062449 19.995335 36.419149 70.069260
2025-11-09 2.011105 3.492873 6.054254 10.921533 20.217906 37.767730 74.795808
2025-11-16 1.868817 3.304804 5.836450 10.751290 20.362526 38.971990 79.360010
2025-11-23 1.734813 3.120667 5.610021 10.542145 20.406634 39.974820 83.610971
2025-11-30 1.699420 3.114336 5.708197 10.963024 21.735403 43.681627 94.108345
2025-12-07 1.627424 3.033315 5.658980 11.087679 22.471334 46.238938 102.383730
2025-12-14 1.542480 2.920827 5.540214 11.060425 22.885209 48.152155 109.424699
2025-12-21 1.452788 2.792315 5.380066 10.933136 23.071196 49.585319 115.512769
2025-12-28 1.423634 2.781146 5.451096 11.295176 24.356041 53.586607 128.308395
2026-01-04 1.386541 2.751012 5.480988 11.570851 25.474108 57.325391 140.953890
2026-01-11 1.362662 2.745952 5.561520 11.963250 26.895915 61.923318 156.422603